AL East Odds: Blue Jays Prediction & Odds To Win Division

The Toronto Blue Jays have gone 6-12 since June 22. 

Fifth in the division, the latest baseball odds at the BetMGM online sportsbook don’t have the Jays as favourites for the AL East in 2026. 

Only five AL teams have shorter MLB odds to win the World Series than the Jays, however. 

AL East Odds

The Blue Jays’ odds to win the AL East are +35000.

Will the Blue Jays Win the AL East?

Toronto is 12 games behind the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays. This prolonged slump has seen the Jays fall to fifth in the AL East, though they are only half a game behind the Baltimore Orioles and two games behind the Boston Red Sox.

I would be very surprised if the Blue Jays won the AL East from this position. They would need to win 45 of the remaining 63 games to win 90 games, and it’s unlikely that will be enough to win the division with the Rays and Yankees on pace for 97 and 91 wins, respectively. 

There hasn’t been much to like about the Blue Jays since the start of June. Their lineup is one of the worst in baseball, the rotation has been underwhelming outside of Dylan Cease, and the bullpen is only around league average. 

I predict they will not win the AL East, but they might sneak into the playoffs via the final wild-card spot. 

How Many Wins are Needed to Win the AL East?

The standard in the AL East has dropped slightly in recent years. In 2024 and 2025, 94 wins were enough to win the division, with the Jays pipping the Yankees on head-to-head record last season.

Between 2018 and 2023, the AL East champion won at least 99 games, except for the shortened 2020 season. Since 2010, only five full seasons have seen the AL East winner collect fewer than 95 wins. 

Blue Jays AL East Finishes

2026 World Series Odds